Why Salesforce Stock Could Pop On August 26th

Joel South

Thu, August 20, 2026 at 6:15 PM GMT+3 3 min read

Quick Read

CRM trades at a P/E of 23 and is down 22% year-to-date, while Polymarket assigns a 91% probability of an earnings beat on August 26.
Agentforce ARR crossed $1 billion in Q1, with combined AI ARR reaching $3.4 billion, up over 200% year over year.
CRM outgrows Oracle at 13% revenue growth while trading at a cheaper multiple with $25 billion in remaining buyback authorization.
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Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) looks well-positioned ahead of the fiscal Q2 2027 report on August 26, 2026, and the case does not require any imagination. You get a growth-software franchise trading at a value multiple, an AI monetization curve that is already showing up in ARR, and a prediction market pricing another beat as a near-certainty.

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Valuation That Does Not Fit The Story

Start with the multiple. CRM trades at a P/E of 23 with a free cash flow yield of 8.53% and generated $6.556 billion of free cash flow in Q1 alone. Shares sit at $206.09, still down 21.8% year-to-date, against a Wall Street analyst target of $242.74 and a fresh JPMorgan price target of $250. This is not a stretched setup.

CRM Price Target — 24/7 Wall St.

Agentforce ARR Is Already Real Revenue

The AI story has stopped being aspirational. Agentforce ARR crossed $1 billion in Q1, with Agentforce plus Data 360 combined ARR of nearly $3.4 billion, up over 200% year over year. Current RPO is $33.6 billion, up 14% year over year, giving management visibility for the second-half reacceleration Robin Washington and Miguel Milano both flagged. Salesforce has now beaten EPS in six of its last seven quarters, and Polymarket assigns a 91% probability of another beat on August 26.

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CRM Earnings Explorer — 24/7 Wall St.

Buybacks Are Doing Real Work

The $25 billion accelerated share repurchase delivered 103 million shares upfront, pulling the diluted share count from 970 million to 871 million in a single year. That alone added 23 cents to non-GAAP EPS in Q1, and a further $25 billion of authorization remains.

CRM Analyst Ratings — 24/7 Wall St.

Head-To-Head Against Oracle

The obvious alternative is Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), and the comparison is not close on growth. CRM printed revenue growth of 13.27% year over year in Q1 FY27, well ahead of Oracle's most recently reported cloud-adjusted top-line pace, and CRM does it at a P/E of 23 versus Oracle's premium multiple. Faster growth, cheaper multiple, larger buyback capacity. The head-to-head is not balanced.

Debt Concern Does Not Survive The Math

Yes, noncurrent debt jumped to $39.3 billion from $10.4 billion to fund the ASR. Interest coverage sits at 27.5x, and Q1 free cash flow alone would cover the entire annual interest burden many times over. Concern dismissed.

Salesforce heads into August 26 with valuation, AI monetization, and buyback tailwinds all pointing the same direction.