Is SAP (SAP) Mispriced as AI Fears Overshadow Its Core ERP Strength?

Is SAP (SAP) Mispriced as AI Fears Overshadow Its Core ERP Strength?

Wed, August 19, 2026 at 5:42 PM GMT+3 3 min read

• SAP +3.57%

Eagle Capital Management, an investment management company, released its second quarter 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. In the quarter, Eagle Capital Management discussed how enthusiasm around AI capital spending has driven strong S&P 500 earnings growth while also increasing risks from elevated valuations, concentrated demand, and aggressive investment assumptions. Eagle remains a strong believer in AI but prefers constructing a portfolio that can perform across multiple outcomes rather than relying on one forecast. The firm believes current earnings can overstate underlying economics because semiconductor equipment is depreciated over several years, while free cash flow growth remains much weaker. It also expects competition and additional capacity across AI labs, hyperscalers, and semiconductors to eventually create winners and losers. These dynamics are encouraging Eagle to recycle capital toward attractive opportunities outside the most crowded AI trades while maintaining selective exposure to high quality beneficiaries. The portfolio trades at a 20% market discount with faster expected EPS growth. Please review the Strategy's top five holdings for key selections.

In its second-quarter 2026 investor letter, Eagle Capital Management highlighted SAP SE (NYSE:SAP). SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) provides enterprise application and business solutions worldwide. On August 18, 2026, SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) closed at $210.47 per share. One-month return of SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) was 41.49% and its shares gained 22.77% over the past 52 weeks. SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) has a market capitalization of $246.79 billion.

Eagle Capital Management stated the following regarding SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) in its Q2 2026 investor letter:

"Software is controversial due to fears of Al-driven disruption. Al makes it easier to build software and will change workflows in how it is used. We believe there will be heightened competition and greater separation between winners and losers over the coming years. The industry is deservedly trading at a higher risk premium, but within the market there are plenty of mispricings.

SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) is the world's largest provider of ERP software. It is mission-critical and sticky. It will face tougher competition in peripheral products, but its core should grow rapidly over the next five years as it migrates customers to its modern platform. We expect EPS growth in the high teens, driven by revenue growth, operating leverage, and share buybacks."

SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) is not on our list of the 40 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 33 hedge fund portfolios held SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) at the end of the first quarter which was 36 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

In another article, we covered SAP SE (NYSE:SAP) and shared Vulcan Value Partners' insight on the company. In addition, please check out our hedge fund investor letters Q2 2026 page for more investor letters from hedge funds and other leading investors.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.