Someone Made A Big Mistake About OpenAI’s $1.5 Trillion Value

Someone Made A Big Mistake About OpenAI’s $1.5 Trillion Value

Douglas A. McIntyre

Wed, September 16, 2026 at 3:30 PM GMT+3 3 min read

• PG +0.36%

Quick Read

• Bloomberg and the FT report OpenAI's new funding round at $1.2 trillion while the New York Times says $1.5 trillion, a $300 billion discrepancy.

• OpenAI's revenue run rate hits $40 billion annually but won't turn profitable until 2030, while rival Anthropic already runs at $65 billion and may be profitable.

• Anthropic's IPO targets a $2 trillion valuation, potentially eclipsing OpenAI's current fundraising price before either company goes public.

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Is OpenAI about to raise money at a $1.2 trillion valuation? That's up from $852 billion in March. The FT reported the figure at $1.2 trillion. So did Bloomberg. The news service wrote, "OpenAI is holding early talks with investors about a fresh funding round that would value the ChatGPT creator at more than $1.2 trillion ahead of an initial public offering."

But someone thinks the figure is $1.5 trillion. The New York Times says so. It reported its information in an article that said, "The funding round would double the value of the start-up behind ChatGPT and establish it as the world's most valuable private company."

Maybe one figure is pre-money. Maybe one is post-money. Or maybe someone just got it wrong. Reports said the talks with big investors are in early stages.

The $300 billion difference is a lot of money. It's about the same as Procter & Gamble's (NYSE: PG) market cap.

In some ways, the difference does not matter. It is just one more thing to read about. AI will wipe out millions of jobs. AI will kill everyone in the world. Alternatively, it will allow people to live in leisure and never have to work again.

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OpenAI's revenue run rate is $40 billion a year. It won't be profitable until 2030. Meanwhile, rival Anthropic's revenue run rate is $65 billion a year. Some reports say it made money over the last two quarters. Anthropic might raise money, too. That might be at a valuation of $1.2 trillion. Or it may be worth $2 trillion the day it goes public. Bloomberg wrote, "Anthropic's $2 Trillion IPO Is Still On. And So Is the AI Race."

Over the last several months, story after story has covered the money raised by smaller AI companies. In many cases, they are barely rumors.

How much is OpenAI worth? There seems to be some confusion.

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